Hurricane Forecasting using OMEGA

The Operational Multi-scale Environmental model with Grid Adaptivity (OMEGA) represents a significant departure from the traditional methods used in numerical weather prediction and real-time hazard prediction. The advanced numerical and adaptive grid generation methods embodied in OMEGA have now been applied to hurricane simulation.

The key to efficient adaptation is the definition of adaptivity criteria. To provide higher resolution in the region of the storm requires first the identification of the storm center and the extent of the storm. Pressure minimum combined with other characteristics such as wind speed minimum is used as the primary adaptivity criterion.

Most of the animations below are created with Java applets. Please make sure your browser is Java enabled, and be patient while all the animation frames load.

Hurricane Dolly - July 2008 - Atlantic

Animation (1 hourly images, 24 frames, 4 Mb total)

Hurricane Frances - September 2004 - Atlantic

88-Hr Forecast
Animation - Integrated Water Vapor (1 hourly images, 97 frames, 10 Mb total)
Animation - Mean Seal Level Pressure (1 hourly images, 97 frames, 10 Mb total)

Hurricane Isabel - September 2003 - Atlantic

Animation (1 hourly images, 97 frames, 10 Mb total)

Typhoon Xangsane - October 2000

Animation (1 hourly images, 73 frames, 6.0 MB Total)

Hurricane Floyd - September 1999 - Atlantic

Discussion
Animation (1 hourly images, 66 frames, 5 Mb total)
3D Animation - 360 K ThetaE isosurface (26 frames, 2 MB total)
3D Animation (20 frames, 540 kb total)

Hurricane Dennis - August/September 1999 - Atlantic

Animation (1 hourly images; 132 frames; 14Mb total)
Animation (6 hourly images; 22 frames; 2.5Mb total)

Hurricane George - September 1998 - Gulf of Mexico

Animation (1 hourly images, 97 frames, 7.4 Mb total)

Interaction of two hurricanes - September 1999 - Atlantic

This simulation shows the interaction of two hurricanes, Floyd and Gert, in the Atlantic. As Floyd moves off the coast of the Eastern United States, Gert appears in the lower boundary. The frames show the amount of water vapor integrated vertically.

Animation (1 hourly images, 121 frames, 10.0 MB Total)

Track Error Analysis

Table of Track Errors